Ebola Spreads Regionally: DR Congo outbreak confirmed in Uganda, Rwanda, or Burundi within 21 days

98%

probability · 58% confidence · 21 days

Ebola spreads regionally forecast (expires June 6): DR Congo has 1,307 confirmed cases and 377 deaths; health news confirms 'Healthcare situation in DR Congo improves amidst Ebola crisis.' Regional spread to Uganda/Rwanda/Burundi remains high probability (98%) given active cases and cross-border population movement. No update needed.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.