Ebola Spreads Regionally: DR Congo outbreak confirmed in Uganda, Rwanda, or Burundi within 21 days

87%

probability · 58% confidence · 21 days

WHO now reports 600 suspected Ebola cases and 139 deaths in DR Congo outbreak (up from earlier reports). MSF warns 'this could be a very bad outbreak.' WHO chief expresses concern over 'scale and speed.' Case doubling time suggests regional spread acceleration. Updated evidence strengthens probability of cross-border confirmation within 21 days.

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