Colombia Humanitarian Aid Arrives: International aid organizations establish 5+ major supply hubs within 21 days

76%

probability · 76% confidence · 21 days

Colombia earthquake has displaced 7.1 million people. Major humanitarian crises typically trigger rapid international aid mobilization; the UN and NGOs establish distribution centers within 2-3 weeks. Base rate for policy/coordination response in major disasters: ~25-30% within 3 weeks. Current scale (7.1M displaced) far exceeds typical thresholds, suggesting aid infrastructure will materialize quickly.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.