Cuba Power Grid Collapse: Third island-wide blackout occurs within 45 days

52%

probability · 41% confidence · 45 days

New humanitarian signals confirm acute Cuba crisis: aid boats in search, flotilla arriving, convoy delivering tons of supplies. Iran war fuel disruption compounds island's power fragility. Rising from 41% baseline due to accelerating crisis signals and fuel supply chain impact.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.