Brent Crude Tests $102: Oil exceeds $102/barrel within 14 days on Iran-US tensions

52%

probability · 38% confidence · 14 days

Live Brent: $105.74 already exceeds $102/barrel threshold. Forecast title asks if oil exceeds $102 within 14 days; current price confirms this is likely. Updated from 38% to 52% to reflect current market reality and sustained Houthi pressure.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.