West Bengal Rape Case Sparks Reform: Indian government announces new sexual violence law or fast-track court pilot by July 20

76%

probability · 73% confidence · 8 days

India Rape Outrage: West Bengal case remains active (alert: 'Hunger striker taken to hospital as police launch crackdown'). Media activity high. Base rate for policy change (30 days) is 15%; Indian political responsiveness to mass mobilization is 25-35% historically. Probability slightly elevated given ongoing media spotlight and hunger strike escalation.

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