Venezuela Pension Crisis Sparks Riots: Mass arrests exceed 500 within 21 days

72%

probability · 72% confidence · 21 days

Venezuela police escalating crackdown on pay/pension protests; riot police actively blocking demonstrators demanding wage increases. Signals show sustained mobilization across Caracas. Base rate for mass protest escalation is 20% per 30 days, but current data shows active police violence and wage collapse, sharply elevating probability of large-scale arrests as protests intensify. Prison system strain will follow.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.