Iran's Khamenei Death Reshapes Succession: New Supreme Leader confirmed within 14 days

99%

probability · 89% confidence · 14 days

New Supreme Leader of Iran confirmed in succession process. Forecast expires July 17 (within 4 days), and multiple alerts confirm successor named and already issuing decrees. Outcome near-certain.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.