DRC Ebola Surge Persists: Cumulative fatalities exceed 4,500 by September 1

93%

probability · 76% confidence · 14 days

DRC Ebola cumulative fatalities already at 2,500+; outbreak confirmed growing exponentially (18x faster than previous deadliest). Vaccine rollout insufficient to contain spread. Threshold of 4,500 by Sept 1 now appears highly probable within 8-9 days at current trajectory. Evidence: France24, UN statements, Al Jazeera all confirm exponential acceleration and insufficient vaccine supply.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.