Brent Crude Sustains Premium: Oil stays above $103/barrel through October 25 amid Houthi targeting campaign

72%

probability · 55% confidence · 12 days

Brent Crude Sustains Premium — LIVE PRICE ANCHOR UPDATE: Brent is now at 106.21 (vs. forecast threshold of $103). Forecast is already MET. Maintain high confidence that crude holds above $103 through October 25, though near-term demand shock signals are emerging (Trump-Putin diesel deal may reduce global demand). Increase confidence to 72 from prior 62.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.