Pharma Supply Chain Fractures: India pharmaceutical exports drop 20%+ amid Iran war disruption by May 20

92%

probability · 72% confidence · 20 days

India pharmaceutical export collapse forecast upgraded. Iran war blockade now triggering confirmed global supply chain disruption (UAE official warning). India's pharma sector heavily dependent on Iran feedstocks and energy. Disruption signals now acute and multi-sourced. Base rate exceeded by scope of blockade and energy crisis.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.