Peru Election Final Call: Peru's electoral authority certifies presidential winner and resolves 'too close to call' dispute by June 25

64%

probability · 64% confidence · 16 days

Lima reports presidential election 'too close to call' with left- and right-wing rivals tied. Peruvian electoral authorities (ONPE/JNE) typically resolve final counts within 20-30 days post-election per constitutional timeline. Tied race suggests runoff or contested certification, but formal resolution likely within 16 days. Base rate election_upset (30 days: 15%) applies; geopolitical_conflict_escalation (12%) for potential post-cert unrest. Certification is procedural outcome with high resolution likelihood.

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