Lebanon Power Crisis Deepens: Nationwide blackout or grid failure exceeds 36 hours by November 20

85%

probability · 71% confidence · 17 days

Lebanon electricity crisis escalating faster than expected — intelligence signals now report state cutting power to ALL public bodies, suggesting nationwide blackout already in progress or imminent within 36-hour window. Grid collapse risk accelerating beyond initial 78% assessment.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.