Germany's Espionage Sweep Deepens: Berlin arrests 3+ additional suspects linked to Iran/China plots within 30 days

76%

probability · 68% confidence · 30 days

Syrian war crime suspects arrested in Austria (Vienna alert). First conviction of Assad regime official forecast already at 79% for May 20 resolution. German espionage sweep deepens with Iran/China plot signals. Upward revision to 76% from 74% due to confirmation of Austrian arrests.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.