Iran Nuclear Deal Stalls: Trump delays formal signing or Congress introduces restrictive amendment within 14 days

99%

probability · 62% confidence · 14 days

Forecast: 'Iran Nuclear Deal Stalls: Trump delays formal signing or Congress introduces restrictive amendment within 14 days'. Alerts show 'Mideast Live Updates: U.S. and Iran Offer Conflicting Accounts of Nuclear Discussions', 'U.S. and Iran's Conflicting Claims on Nuclear Inspection Show Challenge Ahead', and Trump escalating bombing threats while Vance conducts peace talks. These signal immediate deal friction and Trump's willingness to delay/obstruct. Maintained at 98-99% due to strengthening evidence of diplomatic breakdown and Trump's hardline posture toward Iran negotiations.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.