Pakistan-Afghanistan Escalation Spirals: Second cross-border military strike within 14 days

76%

probability · 68% confidence · 14 days

Pakistan-Afghanistan Escalation Spirals at 68%. New critical signal: Pakistan strikes Afghan rehabilitation facility, 40+ killed. This IS the second cross-border strike within 14 days. Probability should move to 76% — escalation already underway, next strike likely within window.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.