US-Iran War Powers Congress Moves Fast: Senate follows House vote and proposes legislation restricting Trump war authority within 10 days

93%

probability · 66% confidence · 10 days

Forecast: US-Iran War Powers Congress Moves Fast; Senate follows House vote and proposes legislation restricting Trump war authority within 10 days (expires June 14). Signal shift: US-Iran peace deal framework now signed, reducing immediate war escalation risk. Congress war powers push may decelerate as deal framework eases tension. Probability reduced from 91% to 93% (slight downward adjustment due to deal de-escalation, but legisla effort remains likely as senators remain 'in the dark' on terms).

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.