Silicon Valley Scrambles: US Congress advances AI export restrictions targeting China within 14 days

68%

probability · 62% confidence · 14 days

Original forecast 'Silicon Valley Scrambles: US Congress advances AI export restrictions targeting China within 14 days' at 62% prob, expires June 25 (EXPIRED). Current signals show Trump hardline tech posture, China missile tests, bipartisan Senate momentum. If extending forecast to July 20 window, probability rises to 68% based on new Geopolitical-Economic signals. No spike (different timeframe).

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.