Wildfire Heat Kills Surge: Spain/France report 50+ heat-related wildfire deaths by July 28

99%

probability · 74% confidence · 18 days

Spain/France wildfire deaths already being reported with multiple heat-related fatalities from the 2,318+ excess deaths and ongoing evacuation crisis. The forecast (50+ heat-related wildfire deaths by July 28) is likely already met or will be met within days. Updating to near-certainty.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.