Migration Surge Looms: Turkey or Greece reports 100k+ asylum applicants within 30 days from Syria/Lebanon exodus

99%

probability · 66% confidence · 30 days

Migration surge forecast was 97% for 100k+ asylum applicants from Syria/Lebanon exodus within 30 days. Signals confirm Lebanon escalation, forced evacuations, Israeli operations — refugee flows are accelerating. Raise to 99% (near-certainty) given confirmed displacement drivers.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.