AI Emissions Blow Past Target: Google and Amazon combined carbon footprint rises 15%+ by August

74%

probability · 74% confidence · 30 days

Signal reports Google and Amazon emissions rising sharply driven by AI boom (Lima). Both tech giants announced sustainability commitments but AI workloads are doubling power consumption faster than renewable capacity additions. Mid-2026 quarterly reports typically released by late July. Given the acceleration trend in the alerts and the scale of AI infrastructure expansion, a 15%+ YoY carbon footprint increase (vs. same period 2025) is highly probable. Tech industry has structural incentive to report H1 results on schedule; this creates measurable outcome within 30 days.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.