Canadian Wildfire Spreads East: British Columbia evacuates cross 100,000 as fires merge into megafire within 14 days

72%

probability · 82% confidence · 14 days

British Columbia wildfire alerts now confirm state of emergency declared, thousands evacuated, and fires doubled in size within 48 hours. Original forecast set 100,000+ evacuations within 14 days; current trajectory suggests this threshold will be breached much sooner (7–10 days). Updating probability upward based on accelerated expansion and official emergency declaration.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.