Lebanon Consolidates Ceasefire Zone: Army deploys full control across southern 'pilot zone' by August 12

72%

probability · 68% confidence · 21 days

Lebanese army has begun pilot zone deployment under ceasefire framework per latest alerts. Israeli forces conducting live-fire exercises near Lebanese positions, indicating tensions during withdrawal phase. Full control of southern pilot zone by August 12 now appears more likely given deployment initiation. Probability raised from 68% to 72% as deployment logistics are now active.

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