WTI Crude Dips Below $90: Oil prices fall 5%+ from current levels within 14 days

32%

probability · 29% confidence · 14 days

Brent now at $92.29 vs. prior anchor; Iran ceasefire extended indefinitely reduces escalation risk in next 14 days. Oil dip below $90 more plausible now given extended ceasefire and demand destruction signals. Raised from 29% to 32% — modest adjustment reflecting marginally improved probability of sub-$90 within 14 days due to ceasefire extension and reduced geopolitical premium.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.