Measles Deaths Spike Again: Sudan reports 50+ pediatric fatalities linked to outbreak by April 25

68%

probability · 54% confidence · 11 days

Sudan measles outbreak context deteriorating. Multiple alerts confirm 'war on women and girls' + sexual violence as strategy, fragmenting health infrastructure further. Sudan food insecurity now at 'catastrophic levels' per NGO. Pediatric fatality escalation risk elevated. Upgrading from 54% to 68%.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.