AI Theft Triggers Export Ban: White House AI theft memo prompts US semiconductor restrictions on China by May 10

62%

probability · 62% confidence · 16 days

Manually corrected: event occurred but the cron failed to record the outcome. Backfilled 2026-05-11.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.