NASDAQ Bounces Back: Tech index climbs above 25,200 within 21 days

51%

probability · 51% confidence · 21 days

Current NASDAQ at 24,596. Forecast targets 2.5% recovery (25,200). While Iran conflict creates headwinds, massive existing forecasts predict broader market downside (NASDAQ below 19,273, S&P below 6,210/6,240/6,451). However, tech sector benefits from AI momentum and defensive positioning. A bounce within 21 days reflects near-term volatility and potential relief rally if ceasefire extends. Nasdaq_correction base rate (5%) anchors conservatism; tech rally base rate (7%) adds upside.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.