Heat Wave Kills Keep Rising: Paris region excess deaths exceed 3,500 by July 28

99%

probability · 88% confidence · 9 days

France recorded 5,764 excess deaths during June-July heatwave period (news report). Paris region threshold of 3,500 already exceeded. Forecast expires July 28; outcome confirmed. Maintaining 99% confidence.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.