Trump Iran War Request Stalls: Congress fails to advance war authorization vote within 14 days

68%

probability · 55% confidence · 14 days

Trump administration accused Iran of ceasefire violation; Congress has not yet voted on war authorization. Signal shows Trump escalation rhetoric increasing but legislative action delayed. Conditional on continued Iran-US spiral, Congress likely moves faster. Upgrade probability as political momentum builds.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.