European Heat Deaths Double: Excess mortality exceeds 2,500 across EU by July 5

99%

probability · 84% confidence · 6 days

European Heat Deaths Double: Excess mortality exceeds 2,500 across EU by July 5 — France alone reported 2,025 excess deaths in June heatwave. With Spain, Portugal, Greece, and Eastern Europe all experiencing peak heat concurrent with French crisis, cumulative EU excess mortality is tracking toward 3,000+. Outcome is essentially confirmed; probability remains 99%.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.