Peru's Cabinet Exodus Deepens: Second major ministerial resignation or government collapse vote within 21 days

91%

probability · 58% confidence · 21 days

Peru government 'shaken by disputed jet deal amid Trump pressure campaign' and earthquake magnitude 5.0 near Lima reported. Government instability signals align with forecast of Cabinet exodus. Original 85% appears well-calibrated but signals of political fragility have hardened.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.