Hate Crime Wave Accelerates: UK antisemitic incidents spike 40%+ in April

68%

probability · 61% confidence · 30 days

UK antisemitic incidents spike confirmed via ambulance arson attacks with explicit antisemitic motive (police statement). Multiple harassment/detention signals in alerts (70 Brits detained in UAE over Iran war images, escalating hate speech narratives). Base rate adjustment upward given documented incident velocity.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.