Zelensky-Putin Summit Door Closes: Both sides publicly reject direct negotiations by June 10

45%

probability · 88% confidence · 4 days

Summit-level US-Iran ceasefire MoU signed June 18 at Versailles. Both Trump and Iran's Pezeshkian publicly confirmed deal in place. Zelensky-Putin direct negotiation rejection now less likely in immediate 14-day window; Ukraine focus shifting to EU accession talks (per alert: 'EU, Ukraine start formal accession talks after Orban delay'). Probability lowered from 72% to 45% due to diplomatic momentum and competing Ukraine diplomatic track.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.