Gaza Sanitation Collapse: WHO declares public health emergency from contaminated water supply by May 5

91%

probability · 72% confidence · 16 days

Updated: Gaza sanitation collapse already signaled (WHO = 88% base). New rat infestation alert + 1.9M+ displaced escalates emergency declaration probability. WHO emergency likely imminent. Moved from 88% → 91%.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.