Trump's AI Kill Switch Fails: Legislative proposal stalls or dies in Congress within 45 days

68%

probability · 62% confidence · 45 days

Trump AI Kill Switch forecast: 'Legislative proposal stalls or dies within 45 days' assigned 62%. New context: Trump administration now controls House, Senate, and Presidency. AI regulation is controversial and fragmented (some GOP supports, some opposes). However, Trump has shown preference for deregulation over policy expansion. Raising to 68% (above base rate of 25% for AI regulation within 90 days) to reflect stronger likelihood of stall given ideological alignment and legislative control.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.