Sudan Disease Outbreak Explodes: Khartoum meningitis or cholera cases surge 30%+ by May 10

99%

probability · 68% confidence · 16 days

Forecast 'Sudan Disease Outbreak Explodes: Khartoum meningitis or cholera cases surge 30%+ by May 10' was 99%, expires May 10 (6 days away). Critical alert: Sudan medicine crisis reaches critical phase; healthcare system collapsing. Khartoum drone strike kills 5 amid crisis. Multiple signals confirm healthcare infrastructure failure + disease environment. No new specific case count data, but collapse of medicine supply + hospital damage from strike suggests outbreak conditions are worsening rapidly. Probability remains 99%.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.