Crude Oil Stays Above $100: Brent crude remains above $100/barrel through May 23

99%

probability · 71% confidence · 60 days

Forecast 'Crude Oil Stays Above $100: Brent crude remains above $100/barrel through May 23' was 99%, expires May 23. Current Brent: $107.27 — sustained above $100. New signals: US escorting ships through Hormuz, Iran war live coverage, oil tanker attacks by Ukrainian drones on Russian assets, maritime attacks off Iran. All conditions support sustained $100+ pricing. Probability remains 99%.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.