Cuban Grid Collapses Again: Blackouts exceed 12 consecutive hours within 30 days

88%

probability · 81% confidence · 30 days

Merged — duplicate of 264debe0 Existing forecast targets 12+ consecutive hours. Cuba's grid has now fully collapsed (national blackout already reported). Fuel reserves degrading under US blockade. 12+ hour threshold will almost certainly be met within 30 days. Revised upward from 78% to 88% due to confirmed grid collapse — next phase is extended outages.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.