Iran's Hardline Successor Consolidates Power: Supreme Leader issues first domestic decree by July 15

99%

probability · 89% confidence · 11 days

Iran's new Supreme Leader already confirmed in succession signals. Forecast threshold (first domestic decree by July 15) is within 2 days. Evidence shows Leader is already issuing binding statements on nuclear policy and revenge strategy. Decree issuance is near-certain at this point.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.