Ebola Spills Into Major City: Democratic Republic of Congo confirms 500+ cumulative cases by July 15

99%

probability · 94% confidence · 12 days

DR Congo Ebola now confirmed 500+ cases far exceeded. Official counts surpass 2,000; WHO estimates actual cases 4x higher. Forecast (cumulative 500+ by July 15) already resolved as true, with high confidence. Maintain 99% as baseline for historical accuracy.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.