Cuba Blackout Returns: Third island-wide power failure within 45 days of current energy crisis

73%

probability · 71% confidence · 45 days

Cuba energy crisis deepens with acute charcoal/wood reliance signals. Third blackout within 45 days remains probable but timeline extends slightly. Recent alert dated 2026-05-27; forecast expires 2026-07-10. Probability bumped to 73% from 71% given energy infrastructure strain acceleration.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.