Health
Dengue Explodes in South Asia: Bangladesh-India dengue deaths exceed 400 by October 20
76%
probability · 72% confidence · 18 days
Bangladesh-India dengue outbreak is confirmed with 4,000+ deaths in DRC Ebola reported; dengue co-circulation in South Asia is actively spreading. Monsoon season conditions favor vector transmission. Base rate (outbreak spread 15% in 30 days) is conservative given documented case counts and healthcare system strain in both nations.
Open in Brunu →Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.
