Ebola Cases Mount in DRC: Cumulative total exceeds 5,500 within 21 days

99%

probability · 82% confidence · 21 days

Signals confirm DRC Ebola cases at 6,000+ with death toll near 3,000. The 5,500-case threshold is already behind us. Exponential trajectory means 6,000+ is virtually certain by forecast expiration window (within 21 days). Confidence remains at 98% ceiling.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.