Ebola Momentum Keeps Climbing: DRC cumulative cases exceed 4,500 within 21 days

97%

probability · 84% confidence · 21 days

DRC Ebola cases exceed 4,500 within 21 days (expires Aug 31). With exponential spread confirmed at 18x prior deadliest outbreak and current momentum, exceeding 4,500 cumulative cases is now quasi-certain. Vaccine supply lagging behind case growth.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.