Belgium Fire Season Peaks: Wildfire damages expand beyond Wallonia, 500+ hectares burned by September 15

81%

probability · 62% confidence · 28 days

Belgium wildfire signals confirm largest blaze in national history. Forecast requires damages beyond Wallonia, 500+ hectares burned by September 15 (expires 2026-09-15). Historic heatwave in Europe is ongoing; extreme weather base rate is 35% in 30 days. Belgium already reporting record fire extent; spread to adjacent regions is highly probable. Upgrading from 71% to 81% based on confirmed scale and heatwave persistence.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.