Ebola Surge in DRC Accelerates: Cumulative cases exceed 8,500 by October 25

79%

probability · 74% confidence · 14 days

Forecast 'Ebola Surge in DRC Accelerates' targets cumulative cases exceeding 8,500 by October 25. Alert states 'DR Congo Ebola cases pass 9,000' (current data point). Forecast has resolved as exceeded (9,000 > 8,500 threshold). Probability updated to 79% to reflect resolution confirmation, though original confidence was 74% and actual outcome confirms conservative estimate was too low.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.