Brent Holds Above $103: Crude remains above $103/barrel through November 15 amid Houthi disruption campaign

68%

probability · 61% confidence · 30 days

Brent crude at $98.32; Trump signals trade openness with Russia (diesel tanker redirects). Downward pressure on oil prices as geopolitical tensions ease. Reduce from 82% given de-escalation signals.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.