Ebola Spillover Warning: DRC cases cross 1,500 mark within 14 days

91%

probability · 81% confidence · 14 days

Ebola Spillover Warning forecast (DRC cases cross 1,500 within 14 days, expires Aug 9). Signals document 'Ebola infections in DR Congo surge to 3,200, with 1,405 deaths' — cases have already far exceeded 1,500 threshold. Forecast has expired or is within terminal days. Adjusting to 91% to reflect confirmed threshold breach but acknowledging imminent or recent expiration.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.