Economic Damage Mounts: Colombia reports Q2 GDP growth below 1.5% amid displacement spike

58%

probability · 58% confidence · 60 days

Colombia facing massive displacement spike (7.1M), cartel gold laundering exposed, internal security crisis. These factors depress consumer spending, investment, and productivity. Base rate unemployment_surge 90 days is 5%; current Colombian crisis severity (displacement + cartel activity) justifies 58% for economic contraction signal by Q2 official reporting.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.