Wildfire Mass Displacement Peaks: 300,000+ evacuated across France-Spain by August 5

95%

probability · 88% confidence · 10 days

Wildfire evacuation ongoing: 224,000 already evacuated across France, Greece, Spain. Forecast threshold is 300,000+ by August 5. Current trajectory and fire spread velocity suggest this is highly achievable, though slightly below initial 99% due to some containment signals emerging in Greece.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.