Commodities✓ Correct
Baghdad Oil Ablaze: Refinery fire forces production cuts exceeding 50,000 barrels/day within 14 days
56%
probability · 48% confidence · 14 days
Forecast resolved at close: BRENT at 106.11 >= 88.26 — threshold met.
Open in Brunu →Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.